An entirely unscientific poll we ran earlier this morning indicates the local battles for the General Election may not be as a sure thing as national bookmakers think.
We conducted our usual style election straw poll between 8am and midday covering a range of questions to readers.
Of course polls such of these are lacking the segmentation and pre-qualification elements of ‘proper’ polls so treat it accordingly, however generally speaking the ones run before have not been a million miles away from the final outcomes.
Wrexham.com’s homepage at 8am is a self selecting readership relevant to the Wrexham area. We popped the poll link on our Facebook page and Twitter account after 9am, however the overall distribution of votes did not change too much as the volume of votes grew.
We have conducted several previous polls in a similar manner – the EU Referendum one had a win down for Leave, last General Election one had a Labour win as did a second version we ran, the European Election straw poll in 2014 predicted the UKIP win.
The headline result was to the question “If you were voting tomorrow which party would you vote for?”, with options including all four parties standing in Wrexham, plus UKIP as they are standing in Clwyd South which comes into the town.
Currently bookmakers have a Conservative win in Wrexham as favourite 1/5 with a Labour hold at 3/1, with the bookmaker’s picture even firmer in Clwyd South with a Conservative win again tipped at 1/7 with Labour hold at 4/1.
Through the four hours the following picture stayed consistent with both Labour and the Conservatives being neck and neck through the morning. The end result saw Welsh Labour and the Welsh Conservatives effectively tied, with standard rounding meaning the 1% gap went to Labour.
We also asked our traditional question on how you would describe your feelings on the election so far, giving a range of options:
We also asked if you had met a candidate who is standing for the General Election:
With tactical voting being a UK wide talking point, we enquired if you would be lending your vote this time around, with 73% of you saying no.
33% of you said you had changed who you were supporting in the General Election since last time:
To vote in the General Election on 8th June, you need to be registered by 11:59pm on 22nd May which is under seven days away.
To register to vote or check your registration please use this link: https://www.gov.uk/register-to-vote