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Wrexham.com EU Referendum Straw Poll Result

NOTE: This content is old - Published: Thursday, Jun 16th, 2016.

Over 850 people took part in a quick straw poll last night where we asked if people were voting in, out, or if they were still undecided.

This time next week people will be going to the real polls to decide if the UK stays in or leaves the EU. As usual with elections we conducted an entirely unscientific two hour straw poll to see what those who connect with Wrexham.com on here and various social media say their voting intention is.

Over 850 people took part, with Leave being ticked 54% of the time with Remain backed by 37%.

9% of those taking part clicked to say they were undecided in how they will vote.

The poll asked the same question you will be asked at the ballot box, “Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” with the same options as the ballot paper.

Polling Day

Next week polls for real will open at 7am on Thursday 23rd and close at 10pm, the full list of polling stations is on this PDF. Remember you do not need to take your polling card if you have lost it!

A local Wrexham County Borough vote count and declaration will take place at Glyndwr University (we will have our usual live coverage from there!) with the entire Welsh vote being collated up at Deeside Sports Centre. From there all results from the UK will be sent to Manchester where the final overall declaration will take place. This is different from the recent Assembly and Westminster elections where the votes take place across constituency boundaries rather than local authority lines.

Wrexham’s result is expected quite early, with talk of a 2am result on the cards but even earlier than that after the vote verification takes place the turnout figure will be announced.

There are national rumours that a large turnout is expected, with one number we have read mentioning it could hit 80%.

Bigger cities could see their results announced in the early hours with guidance stating the overall result is due at the vague ‘breakfast time’ on the Friday. This could be as early as 7am or going by previous elections and the larger expected turn out could be as late as 10-11am.

For those interested there is an Excel file buried in a PDF on the Electoral Commission website (that you can view here) that shows the expected time with Adur, Arun, Cheshire East, Harborough, Leicester, North Somerset, Waveney, Winchester, Worthing all expected to finish counting around 6:30-7am. Belfast East, Belfast South, Belfast West and West Tyrone are expected first just after 1am.

The rules on recounts are slightly different to usual: “The referendum rules do not provide for a national recount to be carried out in any circumstances. Any request for a recount of votes will be at local count level and is for the Counting Officer to determine. We expect local recounts to be granted if a specific issue has been identified with the process in that counting area, rather than simply when the local totals are close.” Usually the latter is the trigger for a keen candidate to ask for a recount, so we imagine only a quickly identified procedural error would mean votes are recounted.

Last Year’s Wrexham.com Straw Poll

Last June we conducted a similar poll, back when perhaps the issue was not at the forefront of peoples minds with the slightly less colourful graph copied in below:

eu-results-first-poll

For those who like more scientific but probably equally wrong polls like ours, there is a collection on this Wikipedia page showing the full history of ‘proper’ polls – you can view it here.

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