Labour MPs to lose their seats.
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Hi all,
The bookies are confident that lucas(wrexham) and elyn jones(clwyd south) are going to be replaced by tories,jones is a whopping 1/10 ON to be replaced by a tory.How times change.The predictions for the last two General Elections have been wrong. The only people who actually have influence are the electors and they need to go out and vote! The Local Elections last time only attracted 34% turnout , a third of the registered voters actually gave us the last Council! Hopefully this time around the other two thirds will have a say. As for the General Election turnout is usually higher and an extra 10% turnout could have a real impact on the result !
As wrexview states turnout is normally low, which is a shame when you see that the Brexit vote turnout in Wrexham was 71%. The chance to cast your vote should not be thrown away by not using it. Enough people argue on all social media platforms about Conservative / Labour / UKIP / Plaid and so on but that needs to transfer to people actually casting votes. Irrespective of who finally wins in Wrexham if you have cast your vote you have spoken with your vote.
Odds are not usually based on what the bookmakers think is going to happen. They are based on the number of bets placed. They will start with a certain figure and amend the odds as they receive bets. They are not in the business to influence people they are in the business to make money.
I am not aware of what the starting figures were, but I would assume a lot more money has been placed on Conservative. Therefore the bookmakers are weighing the odds towards Labour as they want to encourage more people to put money on Labour. So whoever wins they are not hit too badly. For instance if they suddenly have many £1000’s being placed on Labour, they will lower the odds.
At the end of the day they need to balance their books and make a profit.
[quote quote=130526]Odds are not usually based on what the bookmakers think is going to happen. They are based on the number of bets placed. They will start with a certain figure and amend the odds as they receive bets. They are not in the business to influence people they are in the business to make money.
I am not aware of what the starting figures were, but I would assume a lot more money has been placed on Conservative. Therefore the bookmakers are weighing the odds towards Labour as they want to encourage more people to put money on Labour. So whoever wins they are not hit too badly. For instance if they suddenly have many £1000’s being placed on Labour, they will lower the odds.
At the end of the day they need to balance their books and make a profit.
[/quote]
But what odds would you have got on a Tory MP in Wrexham 30 years ago ?
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